How to Exit Precisely Before the Upcoming Recession?
Equity markets around the world, especially those in the US, have corrected sharply in response to announcement of sweeping tariffs on almost all the leading trading partners of the US by US President Donald Trump on 2-Apr-2025. The crisis deepened further as China, on its part responded by imposing counter-tariffQs on American imports. This triggered multiple rounds of impositions tariffs and counter-tariffs by US and China on the other side’s imports. As a result, cumulative US tariffs on imports from China have for now, gone up to a staggering level of 245%. And Chinese tariffs on imports from US have now gone up to as high as 125%. There was in interim resolution of sorts on 9-Apr-2025 when President Trump abruptly announced that he was suspending his counter-tariff measures from going into effect for a period of 90 days for almost all countries except for China. This in turn helped equity markets around the world stage strong rebound rallies from 9-Apr-2025 onwards.
That said, there should be no doubts that this crisis is far from over, and that’s because the impasse between the two most important protagonists in this story (US and China) continues to simmer and can potentially even boil over. And it’s absolutely imperative during uncertain times like these to identify market parameters and indicators that can potentially help navigate equity markets as per a strict quant-driven rules-based approach.
In this video, I endeavour to identify few key bond market parameters that can potentially help investors precisely get out of equity markets as the on-going trade war related crisis unfolds, and then get back into equity markets once there is an objective way to conclude that the on-going crisis is moving towards a resolution. So please do watch this video till the end.
So Do watch the full video on ”How to Exit Precisely Before the Upcoming Recession - Part 1 | NIFTY-50 Crash
