Path to Next Melt-Up, And The Only Condition For NO MELT-UP

PATH TO NEXT MELT-UP, AND THE ONLY CONDITION IN WHICH THERE’S NO MELT-UP | NIFTY-50 CRASH

I conducted a live Ask Me Anything (AMA) session from 5pm onwards on Sunday, 16-March-2025. It was very heartening to see nearly a hundred super sharp individuals take out nearly three and a half hours on a Sunday evening to join me for a very stimulating discussion on the prevailing setup in equity markets, and how our flagship AlphaSIP® and Lumpsum Investment Strategies can help traverse equity markets during times of market upheavals (such as current times).

As promised during the session, I am releasing recording of Part 2 of the session, which covers my presentation on the current market set-up. In this presentation, I explain how the sequence of events in financial markets as witnessed over the last 6 months bears a striking resemblance to what was witnessed in NOT just equity markets, but even bond market 18 years back, after the Fed started its rate cut cycle back then in Sept-2007. Not just that, I further explain, how these striking similarities in the market setup of 2025 and that of 2007 could well mean that the conditions necessary for equity markets to embark on the next big leg UP could well have started to fall in place one by one.

Apart from this bullish case for stocks, which continues to be my base case for now, I also discuss in this video an important market parameter / market condition, which if fulfilled, could well mean that the US economy may slip into a recession before any melt-up can materialize. And that would effectively mean that we may NOT get this one last melt-up in equity markets in this business cycle after all. This is NOT by base case for now, but is worth watching out for nevertheless.

So Do watch the full video on ”Path to Next Melt-Up, And The Only Condition ➡ NO MELT-UP | NIFTY-50 Crash”

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